Next Investors logo grey

End of Financial Year, and what happened to 88E's share price?

Published 03-JUL-2021 08:53 A.M.

|

7 minute read

The new financial year certainly came in with a bang.

We had been counting down to July 1st - waiting for the pressure of ā€œsell in Mayā€ and of ā€œJune tax lossā€ selling to finish.

The new FY delivered what we were hoping for with many of our long term portfolio companies reclaiming some lost ground in a suddenly buoyant again small cap market.

If the first two days of the new FY are anything to go by we should be in for a bull market in the lead up to the Christmas break - at least we hope so.

We continue to have our fingers crossed for a multi year commodities super-cycle as the world builds and spends its way out of a COVID slump while also switching to green energy.

We have constructed our investment portfolio to be heavy in battery metals, green energy, healthtech and precious metals - trends we think will dominate the next decade.

The small cap market this week feels a lot like it did in the first couple of weeks of January when it came roaring back after the Christmas and New Year shut down.

We are hoping there will be even more to come in a few weeks time when more investors return from school holidays (we mean the parents, not the Reddit crowd).

What happened to 88E on Friday?

In the last 9 trading sessions 88E has shot up from 2c to 4.5c and on huge volume - thatā€™s a 125% pop in a very short time.

Frankly we have no idea why 88E is going up.

We added more 88E at 2.5c in the first week of June expecting a long, patient wait till Alaskan exploration season starts in 8 months time and the share price runs up in the lead up to expected drilling (like it usually does) where we would look to free carry into the result (as we usually do with explorers).

This weekā€™s 88E win was pure luck on our part and certainly did not fall into any strategy we had in place - Occasionally the small cap gods smile on you (...most times they prefer to kick you in the teeth).

After the last 88E price spike in April, 88E has become a heavily followed stock (especially in the USA where the number of investors is mind boggling) and no doubt there will be more twists in the 88E story over the next few days...

We will be closely watching the 88E price action on the UK and US markets as well as the ASX - 88E finished up 21% in the US overnight.

Congrats to anyone who has been holding 88E for a while and executing a good top slicing strategy on it.

If you got burned trying to trade the 88E spike last time please be careful and remember the lessons learned this time around if 88E does continue spiking next week.

We are not short term traders so can't comment on short term momentum trading - our "less exciting" strategy is to patiently hold a stock before it spikes rather than trying to chase momentum trades.

In general please always remember to invest only what you are comfortable to lose and don't try to trade small caps on borrowed money - make sure to read our ebook on how we invest in small cap stocks if you are new to investing.

šŸ“° Hereā€™s what happened this week on Next Investors

Province Resources (ASX:PRL) is aiming to develop Australiaā€™s first truly ā€œZero Carbonā€ Green Hydrogen project.

PRL is one of our biggest holdings - it is our 2021 Small Cap Pick of the Year.

Over the last two months the PRL share price has drifted while the company has been quietly executing on its next batch of newsflow after raising $18M at 15c.

Following this share price consolidation, we think PRL should return to an uptrend in this new financial year as news gets closer.

Find out why ...

Read our full commentary here: An Update on PRL: Our 2021 Small Cap Pick of the Year

We took a closer look at our latest investment BPM Minerals (ASX:BPM) and its key projects this week. BPM is trying to emulate a nearby $325M lead zinc discovery, but also has two other projects that have near term catalysts.

We think these two ā€œside-betsā€ could accelerate share price activity prior to the main drilling event we invested for in late 2021.

Our ā€œBig Betā€ in BPM is for its lead zinc drilling expected in late 2021 - $14M capped BPM is drilling near and along strike (40km) to Rumbleā€™s $325M discovery.

BPM Side Bet #1 is BPMā€™s WA Gold Project which is drilling in coming weeks.

BPM Side Bet #2 is BPMā€™s Nepean Nickel project where it is currently chasing EM targets for RC drilling - 2km from a historic nickel mine.

BPM is an early stage exploration investment where our strategy is to invest very early (way before the key drilling event) and wait patiently for what we hope will be a share price rise on speculation in the lead up to drilling. Our aim is to free carry into the result, which is still 6 months away.

You can read all about it here: BPMā€™s Big Boots Bet Boosted by Bullish Baby Bets

Creso Pharma Ltd (ASX:CPH | OTC:COPHF) this week confirmed two consecutive quarters of record revenue growth, posting $1.71M revenue this quarter - up from $1.38M in the previous quarter - thatā€™s 24% growth. Revenue is up 451% compared to the same quarter last year.

CPH releases a lot of announcements, but this one was material as it is actual revenue generated from business activities.

Read our full commentary here: CPH releases material announcement

šŸ—£ļø Quick Takes - Our Other Investments:

It was a quiet week leading up to the end of the financial year, however we expect to see a flurry of news in the coming weeks as exploration ramps up, deals are done and quarterlies are lodged.

Los Cerros (ASX: LCL)

This week LCL major shareholder and renowned geophysicist Dr Minlu Fu exercised 12.5 million options at 10c a share, paying LCL $1.25M. These options were due to expire 6 April 2022 - so he has done it 10 months ahead of schedule. Itā€™s always a good sign when major shareholders continue to support a stock...

Minbos Resources (ASX: MNB)

This week MNB approved the purchase of two long lead items for the Cabinda Phosphate Plant, by locking in the equipment pricing and expediting the project timelines they de-risk the projectā€™s CAPEX against fluctuating commodity prices.

Galileo Mining (ASX: GAL)

GALā€™s drill rig is prepared to mobilise from Kalgoorlie, in order to run a 1,000m diamond drilling campaign across two highly conductive nickel targets in the Fraser Range.

Tempus Resources Ltd (ASX: TMR)

TMR released a new Investor Presentation that gives a pretty good overview of the company plans.

Euro Managense Inc (ASX: EMN)

EMN also released a new Investor Presentation that gives a great overview of its EU manganese production plans.

Advanced Human Imaging (ASX: AHI)

We have been holding AHI for over a year now and it has been an excellent performer - we are happy to see clarification last week on their US $3.6M Nexus-Vita deal, which has now been extended to complete on August 31st 2021, with an extra $500k of integration development paid to AHI as part of the extension deal.

This week AHI also provided an update on a US $1.5M convertible note that was supposed to convert into shares if AHI listed on the NASDAQ by June 30th BUT had to be repaid to noteholders if it didnā€™t... AHI announced this week that the noteholders agreed to extend the maturity date to September 31st 2021 - our read on this is that AHI is confident it will list on the NASDAQ within 3 months, before the new note maturity deadline.

šŸ¦‰In our other portfolios šŸ¹

FYI Resources (ASX: FYI) has just been awarded ā€œMajor Project Statusā€ from the Australian Federal Government, having been endorsed as a project of ā€œNational Significanceā€. This means FYI gets direct access to the very top tiers of the Federal Government ā€“ the Minister.

FYI will go straight to the top of the queue when it comes to permitting and approvals ā€“ as it is effectively ā€˜pre approvedā€™.

This endorsement from the Federal Government will also open up financing options significantly as well as regulatory risk is vastly reduced.

šŸ¦‰Read our update here: ā€œFYIā€™s Project of National Significanceā€ Says Australian Federal Government

šŸŒŽ Relevant Mainstream Media:

Commodities / Resources

Bloomberg Commodity Traders Harvest Billions While Prices Rise for Everyone Else

AFR - Trading the ā€˜perfect stormā€™ for resources

AFR - Commodity-hungry Europe gets ready to dig up the backyard

Lithium (VUL)

Bloomberg - Lithium Nationalism Is Taking Root in Region With Most Resources
Bloomberg - China Giant Ganfeng Says Lithium May Rally to Boom-Time High

Tin (TMZ)

Mining.com - Tin price on a tear as demand soars

Energy in Africa (IVZ)

Bloomberg - Biggest China Bank Abandons $3 Billion Zimbabwe Coal Plan

Hydrogen (PRL)

New Atlas - World's biggest green hydrogen project announced for Kazakhstan

Click here to see our portfolio

Have a great weekend,

Next Investors



General Information Only

S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (S3, ā€˜weā€™, ā€˜usā€™, ā€˜ourā€™) (CAR No. 433913) is a corporate authorised representative of LeMessurier Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 296877). The information contained in this article is general information and is for informational purposes only. Any advice is general advice only. Any advice contained in this article does not constitute personal advice and S3 has not taken into consideration your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Please seek your own independent professional advice before making any financial investment decision. Those persons acting upon information contained in this article do so entirely at their own risk.

Conflicts of Interest Notice

S3 and its associated entities may hold investments in companies featured in its articles, including through being paid in the securities of the companies we provide commentary on. We disclose the securities held in relation to a particular company that we provide commentary on. Refer to our Disclosure Policy for information on our self-imposed trading blackouts, hold conditions and de-risking (sell conditions) which seek to mitigate against any potential conflicts of interest.

Publication Notice and Disclaimer

The information contained in this article is current as at the publication date. At the time of publishing, the information contained in this article is based on sources which are available in the public domain that we consider to be reliable, and our own analysis of those sources. The views of the author may not reflect the views of the AFSL holder. Any decision by you to purchase securities in the companies featured in this article should be done so after you have sought your own independent professional advice regarding this information and made your own inquiries as to the validity of any information in this article.

Any forward-looking statements contained in this article are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results or performance of companies featured to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this article. S3 cannot and does not give any assurance that the results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements contained in this article will actually occur and readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

This article may include references to our past investing performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of our future investing performance.