BPM owns Exploration Licenses right next door (40km along strike) to Rumble Resources who made the Chinook Lead/zinc discovery. BPM's projects share fundamental geological similarities with Rumble’s tenements in the region.
ASX:BPM
Last Price:
$0.072
Date of Initial Coverage
19-May-21
Initial Entry Price
$0.200
Returns from Initial Entry
-64%
BPM will return 10x by making a discovery and defining a deposit significant enough to move into development studies
Opened: 04-Feb-2022
Shares Held at Open: 1,670,000
What does BPM do?
BPM Minerals (ASX:BPM) is an exploration company aiming to make lead-zinc discoveries in the Earaheedy Basin in WA, Australia. BPM also holds other early stage gold-nickel projects across WA.
What is the macro theme?
Lead and zinc are two industrial metals that have moved higher due to an inflation-driven commodities supercycle. Lead is mainly used for Internal Combustion Engine (petrol car) batteries while zinc is primarily used for galvanising steel and making alloys. As fiscal and monetary stimulus increases infrastructure spending - we believe zinc in particular is primed to move beyond its current elevated price to all-time-highs.
Why did we invest in BPM?
Assets near Rumble Resources’ Chinook Discovery
BPM owns Exploration Licenses right next door (40km along strike) to Rumble Resources who made the Chinook Lead/zinc discovery. BPM's projects share fundamental geological similarities with Rumble’s tenements in the region.
Cap Structure
At the start of the year, BPM had only 49M shares and 38M options on issue with a market cap of just $13.7M. With ~$4.4M in cash in the bank and an enterprise value of $9.3M it is highly leveraged to a new discovery.
What do we expect BPM to deliver?
Objective #1: First Lead/Zinc drill holes in the Earaheedy Basin.
Milestones
Geochemical/geophysical surveys to generate drilling targets
Drilling permitting
Drilling commencement
Drilling results
Objective #2: Side bets: Drilling at the company’s other projects.
We expect BPM will make drilling progress on the company’s other projects, we are looking for:
Milestones
Drilling program at the Santy gold project
Drilling program at the Nepean nickel project
Drilling program at the Claw gold project
What could go wrong?
Permitting risk
There is always a risk with exploration projects that the necessary approvals or agreements like land access, heritage and native title agreements are not reached and permits can go un-granted.
Exploration risk
BPM's projects are at a very early stage, most are yet to have high-priority drill targets identified, any drilling programs done in the near-term could return no mineralisation.
Delay risk
We originally invested in BPM back in May 2021, hoping they would drill the Hawkins prospect before Christmas 2021… that definitely didn't happen so we now take BPM’s timelines with a grain of salt - timelines may be delayed.
Financing risk
BPM is a junior explorer with early stage projects. They still need to do a lot of target generation work before the projects are ready to drill, markets may lose momentum and funding for early stage higher risk exploration like this could dry up.
Commodity risk
We are primarily invested in BPM for the lead/zinc drilling at Earaheady, but the market may lose interest if lead and zinc prices cool off.
What is our investment plan?
Our investment plan for BPM is the same as for all our early stage, exploration investments:
Disclosure: The authors of this article and owners of Next Investors, S3 Consortium Pty Ltd, and associated entities, own 1,670,000 BPM shares and 850,000 BPM options at the time of writing this memo. S3 Consortium Pty Ltd has been engaged by BPM to share our commentary on the progress of our investment in BPM over time.
✅ Initial Investment: @20c
✅ Top Slice
🔲 Free Carry
✅ Increased Investment: @20c
🔲 Free Carry
🔲 Take Profit
🔲 Price increases 300% from initial entry
🔲 Price increases 500% from initial entry
🔲 Price increases 1000% from initial entry
✅ 12 Month Capital Gain Discount
🔲 Hold remaining Position for next 2+ years
