China considering US$1.1 trillion infrastructure stimulus
Jul 15, 2022
China plans to make up to US$1.1 trillion in financing available for infrastructure spending, which we think will increase commodity demand. Read the following Bloomberg article for details.
Read the full article here.
Below are our key takeaways:
- China is making 7.2 trillion yuan ($1.1 trillion) in funds available for infrastructure spending.
- According to Citigroup, infrastructure investment in 2022 is likely to rise by 7.7% versus 2021.
- President Xi Jinping has called for an “all out” effort to increase infrastructure spending this year to fuel economic growth and meet a GDP growth target of around 5.5%.
The Bloomberg article touches on the impacts of China’s COVID induced lockdowns on the domestic economy.
With economic growth tipped to slow, the Chinese government is getting ready to lean on fiscal stimulus through infrastructure investment to spur economic growth.
We think this type of fiscal stimulus is likely to become a common theme in China and the West, with macro themes like decarbonisation requiring massive CAPEX.
This infrastructure spending forms part of our “commodities supercycle” investment thesis, where we see increased fiscal stimulus and CAPEX investment spurring higher demand for commodities already facing supply shortages.