Leveraged to a discovery: With a market cap of ~$18.4M, $5.7M in cash, TEE has a tiny enterprise value of ~$12.7M. TEE is therefore highly leveraged to a major discovery being made over the coming years.
$0.200
Opened: 06-May-2022
Shares Held at Open: 3,725,000
What does TEE do?
Top End Energy (ASX:TEE) is a junior gas explorer focused on making gas discoveries in Queensland (Adavale Basin) and in the Northern Territory (McArthur Basin near the Beetaloo Basin).
TEE is committed to becoming a net zero emissions energy producer with a focus on gas projects.
TEE also intends to investigate developing/acquiring other product streams like helium, hydrogen, and carbon off-setting/capture technologies.
What is the macro theme?
Gas prices are surging after sanctions on Russian gas, security of supply has become a global issue.
With the world transitioning towards cleaner, lower carbon sources of energy and growing support to move away from dirtier fossil fuels, gas is the logical “transition fuel” to bridge the gap between fossil fuels and other conventional green energy sources.
Australian domestic gas markets are also structurally short in supply. Demand and pricing for gas on the east coast is expected to remain high as supply pressures, both domestically and in the international LNG market, are expected to increase over the long term.
Our Big Bet for TEE
TEE makes a new large scale gas discovery in Australia and becomes a takeover target from one of the oil and gas majors at 1,000%+ from our Initial Entry Price.
Why did we invest in TEE?
Low enterprise value
Leveraged to a discovery: With a market cap of ~$18.4M, $5.7M in cash, TEE has a tiny enterprise value of ~$12.7M. TEE is therefore highly leveraged to a major discovery being made over the coming years.
Beetaloo Basin gas peers trading at many multiples of TEE
The region is currently being actively explored by Empire Energy (currently capped at $187M), Tamboran Resources (capped at $209M). Global energy heavyweights Santos ($28B) and Origin Energy ($13B) are also invested in the Beetaloo. While TEE is at a much earlier stage than its peers in the region, there is potential for growth over the coming years.
Gas is the ideal transition fuel between fossil fuels and green energy
Gas provides a pathway to transition from fossil fuels like oil and coal to lower carbon emission renewable energy generation sources.
Mandated to acquire new projects
TEE is mandated to explore acquisition opportunities ranging from helium, carbon capture assets, all the way through to hydrogen and ammonia projects. This gives TEE optionality to bring in new projects in a space where there is minimal ASX listed exposure.
What do we expect TEE to deliver?
Objective #1: Exploration licence applications to be granted over NT projects
Milestones
Secure native title agreements
Secure land access agreements
Exploration licences granted
Objective #2: Target generation works at the QLD gas project
Milestones
Analysis and reinterpretation of historical data (seismic and historic wells)
Geological mapping and/or geophysical surveys
Seismic data acquisition programs
Identification of drillable prospects
Objective #3: Clearer strategy on clean energy projects
Milestones
Announce to the ASX a clear plan or project acquisition in one of these sectors.
What could go wrong?
Permitting risk
A key risk for TEE is that key permits in the NT are not granted. The NT projects are all still exploration licence applications and are going through the permitting process, which is never guaranteed to be concluded or may take longer than expected.
Exploration risk
After the permitting issues are resolved, TEE still has to explore and eventually drill the projects. As with any exploration company, there is always a risk that nothing is found or that what is found is deemed uneconomic. Capital will be required along the journey to deliver on exploration goals.
Regulatory risk
Until 2018 there was a moratorium on the use of hydraulic fracture stimulation (fracking) in the Northern Territory. Even though the moratorium has now been lifted, the permitting process for fracking exploration remains heavily regulated. There is also a risk that new government regulations on the industry render the permits inactive.
What is our investment plan?
The bulk of our TEE shares are escrowed for 24 months from its 4 April 2022 ASX listing.
Similarly to our other oil & gas exploration investments, we invested in TEE early and are patiently holding for the long term.
It will be at least 12 months before TEE undertakes any drilling. In the lead up, there will be a lot of preliminary work conducted as exploration takes place, drill permits are secured, and drill targets are identified.
As with all our early stage investments, we may look to de-risk our investment in the lead up to a major catalyst, or in the event of a significant share price re-rate in the next 12 months. In this case we would only look to sell the portion of shares that are not escrowed for 24 months - which is less than 10% of our entire position.
Disclosure: S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (the Company) and Associated Entities own 3,725,000 TEE shares and 1,850,000 TEE options at the time of publishing this memo. The Company has been engaged by TEE to share our commentary on the progress of our Investment in TEE over time.
TEE granted first new NT gas permit in 10 years as Australian prioritises gas
Jun 6, 2024
Jun 6, 2024 |
13 min
The first NEW gas exploration permit in the Northern Territory in almost 10 years… And it just got granted to our micro cap Investment Top End Energy (ASX: TEE).
TEE just quadrupled its acreage in NT - natural hydrogen and helium
Feb 27, 2024
Feb 27, 2024 |
12 min
Top End Energy (ASX: TEE) has just quadrupled its granted licence tenure in the NT. TEE picked up 27,885km^2 of acreage from Gina Rinehart’s Hancock Energy.
First NT gas exploration permit in 8 years - now likely weeks away for TEE
Apr 3, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 |
8 min
Our domestic gas exploration investment, Top End Energy (ASX: TEE) has just received their long-awaited native title approval for the NT gas projects. This opens the pathway for permitting approval and exploration works in the coming weeks.
TEE’s Beetaloo exploration permit could only be a few weeks away
Mar 2, 2023
Mar 2, 2023 |
13 min
The Beetaloo Basin in the Northern Territory has the potential to solve Australia’s east coast gas crisis, and the capital pouring into the region is good news for our domestic gas exploration Investment Top End Energy (ASX: TEE).
Gas explorer sitting in a busy neighbourhood
Aug 8, 2022
Aug 8, 2022 |
11 min
TEE released an operational update that put into perspective where the company sits in the project lifecycle right now.
TEE proving up multiple gas, helium and hydrogen targets
Jul 15, 2024
Jul 15, 2024 |
3 min
Top End Energy (ASX: TEE) just put out a prospectivity update on one of its NT oil and gas permits.
TEE completes acquisition from Hancock subsidiary
Jul 12, 2024
Jul 12, 2024 |
2 min
Top End Energy (ASX: TEE) just completed the acquisition of ground from the wholly owned subsidiaries of Gina Rinehart’s Hancock Prospecting.
TEE close to completing acquisition from Hancock subsidiary
Jul 2, 2024
Jul 2, 2024 |
1 min
Top End Energy (ASX: TEE) just received government approval for the acquisition of ground from the wholly owned subsidiaries of Gina Rinehart’s Hancock Prospecting.
TEE: EP258 Section 31 Deed Executed
Nov 17, 2023
Nov 17, 2023 |
2 min
Our domestic gas exploration Investment Top End Energy (ASX: TEE) has just released an announcement outlining the successful signing and execution of the Section 31 Deed for its Northern Territory Gas projects.
TEE identifies multiple stacked oil & gas targets in QLD
Oct 27, 2023
Oct 27, 2023 |
2 min
Top End Energy (ASX: TEE) just put out preliminary results from its 2D seismic acquisition program at its QLD gas project.
Are we Beyond The bear-zone...?
Jul 21, 2024
Jul 21, 2024 |
17 min
It’s week three of our “is the small cap market back?” watch. A quieter week this week, not as green as the first two weeks of July. But also not that red at all - more grey.
Natural gas and the clean energy transition
May 7, 2022
May 7, 2022 |
15 min
Natural gas prices have surged in the last few months after sanctions placed on Russia (the major gas supplier to Europe) took a huge chunk of supply off the market. And we don’t think the Russia situation is going to stabilise any time soon.
