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ASX:RML

Resolution Minerals Ltd

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ASX:RML
- Resolution Minerals Ltd
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$0.045

Last Price

Investment Memo:

Resolution Minerals Ltd (ASX:RML)

- LIVE

Opened: 11-Jun-2025

Shares Held at Open: 23,076,922

Options Held at Open: 4,038,460


What does RML do?

RML is acquiring the Horse Heaven gold-antimony-tungsten project in Idaho USA.

The project is directly next door to the ~$2BN capped Perpetua Resources, which has been supported by the US Department of Defence for its antimony potential.

RML will be drilling to define its own gold-antimony-tungsten resource.

What is the macro theme?

Critical defence metals and precious metals in the USA.

With Trump signing Executive Orders to encourage US domestic critical metals production, fast tracking strategic mine permitting, and the US government supplying big funding deals to the right projects, private interest and capital has followed.

Antimony is a critical military metal used for various defence applications like missiles, tanks and ammunition.

Tungsten is used for armour plating, artillery, ammunition, and high tech weapons.

Precious metals gold and silver rise in times of global uncertainty.

And US based projects are attracting attention and capital.

RML ticks the boxes on the above themes.

Our Big Bet for RML

“RML to re-rate to $200M market cap on the back of strong drill results and maiden resource, plus continued interest and capital flows into the USA critical metals thematic”

NOTE: our “Big Bet” is what we HOPE the ultimate success scenario looks like for this particular Investment over the medium term (2+ years). There is a lot of work to be done, many risks involved - just some of which we list in our RML Investment Memo. Success will require a significant amount of luck. There is no guarantee that our Big Bet will ever come true.

Why did we invest in RML?

USA-based Gold, Antimony, Tungsten and Silver project - Strong macro theme

RML has exposure to three of our current favourite macro themes.

Critical/defence minerals (antimony and tungsten), precious metals (gold and silver) and USA based resource projects.

RML’s project has a non-JORC historical gold resource of ~286k ounces.

RML’s project was historically mined for antimony & tungsten

RML’s project produced Antimony in the early 1920s and Tungsten between 1971 and 1985.

The project has been drilled several times over the last few decades but none of the modern exploration assayed for antimony or tungsten.

Rock chip sampling on site is showing RML’s project could host gold-silver-antimony and tungsten mineralisation.

RML is next door to the largest antimony project in North America owned by A$2BN Perpetua Resources

Perpetua has received almost $2BN in funding support from the US government and is building a high grade, low cost gold mine which will also be the biggest producer of antimony in the USA.

Perpetua’s project will be the only source of antimony production in the USA and will be producing over 450k ounces of gold per annum.

Perpetua is up by over 1,000% over the last 24 months and RML is right next door.

RML’s project could have the same geology as Perpetua Resources

RML’s exploration theory is based around its project being part of an "Intrusion Related Gold System” (sometimes referred to as an IRGS).

RML’s theory is that whatever source structure generated Perpetua’s resource, could also be pushing out mineralisation into RML’s ground.

US based critical metals projects attracting attention and capital on the ASX

Over the last 8 weeks, Dateline Resources (DTR) has run by over 5,000%, Trigg Minerals has run by ~300%, and Locksley Resources (LKY) is up more than 600%.

Concerns over Chinese export bans and the Trump administration loosening permitting handbrakes have meant ASX investors are more willing to buy into US based critical minerals projects.

The market is currently rewarding US based critical metals projects - RML could also attract this capital inflow to fund progress at its project.

Critical military metals antimony and tungsten are both at record high prices

Right now, about 85% of antimony supply comes from China, Russia and Tajikistan.

China is the biggest supplier at ~55% of global supply... and ~6 months ago it threatened export controls on antimony supply which sparked a rally to new all time highs.

China also dominates ~80% of the global tungsten market and perceived supply risk has taken tungsten prices to 12 year highs

Precious metals Gold at record high, silver price breakout last 72 hours

Gold is currently trading near all time highs and is up ~100% over the last 12 months.

Silver is also breaking out above 14 year highs AND it looks like it wants to run to new all time highs.

Drill permits already granted for a 57 hole drill program

RML already has drilling permits granted and can start drilling straight away.

Drill permits in the US can take months to get and can mean investor attention starts to move away from a company because of the long lead times.

RML wont have any of this and can start drilling immediately.

Potential to fast-track project development with favourable US government policy

There are a number of Executive Orders that Trump has released since being in office that have encouraged domestic production of critical minerals.

Including, the Immediate Measures to Increase American Mineral Production, and nominating a number of projects for the FAST-41 program.

This program improves the timeliness and transparency of federal environmental reviews for infrastructure projects.

Although RML’s project is still at the exploration stage, if the company can define a meaningful resource, then larger investors who are interested in building a mine will know that there is an expedited pathway through to development.

Potential to obtain non-dilutive U.S. Government funding

Next door neighbour Perpetua Resources has received commitments from the US government for almost US$2BN to get its projects online.

We think there is a chance RML receives US government support for its project.

We looked at the buyout terms the vendors paid to the previous owners of this project and saw that there was a milestone payment tied to government funding support >US$5M. Clearly this was something the old owners thought was possible...

What do we expect RML to deliver?

Objective #1: Drilling at Golden Gate

We want to see RML drill its Golden Gate prospect targeting gold-silver and tungsten. IF the drilling also hits antimony that will be an added bonus.

Milestones

not done Drill rig mobilisation

not done Drilling starts

not done Assay results

Objective #2: Target generation at Antimony Ridge

We want to see RML define drill targets at its Antimony Ridge prospect

Milestones

not done Soil Sampling

not done Modeling of existing 3D data

not done Identify drill tagets

not done Permit for further drilling

Objective #3: Maiden Gold-Antimony-Tungsten Resource

RML’s project has been mined historically for tungsten and antimony BUT none of those minerals were assayed for in any of the modern drilling. We want to see RML discover and define a gold-antimony and tungsten resource.

Milestones

not done Publish maiden resource

Objective #4: (Bonus): US government funding

This would be an added bonus for us. We would like to see RML land some US government funding for the deal.

Milestones

not done US funding deal

What could go wrong?

Capital Structure Risk

After RML completes its current capital raise and acquisition it will have ~1.2BN shares on issue and over 800M options exercisable at 1.8c per share.

There is a chance the outstanding options act as a weight on RML’s share prices in the short-medium term.

IF RML’s share price goes above 1.8c then the market may start to price in dilution and more supply coming onto market (through option exercises) which in turn may cause some selling in anticipation of those options coming to market.

Exploration risk

There is no guarantee that RML’s upcoming drill programs are successful. RML may fail to find economic deposits of gold, antimony or tungsten.

Funding risk/dilution risk

As a pre-revenue small cap company, RML is reliant on capital markets to advance its projects.

If something negative happens at a macro or company level, RML could struggle to access capital on favourable terms.

These capital raises may take place at a discount, and result in the issuance of new shares which incur dilution to existing shareholders.

Commodity price risk

The performance of commodity stocks are often closely linked to the value of the underlying commodities they are seeking to extract. Should gold (or antimony) prices fall, this could hurt the RML share price.

Market risk

Broader market sentiment could deteriorate, and shares as an investment class trade lower, taking RML’s share price with it. Alternatively, there could be further sector specific pain ahead where junior explorers suffer a lot more than the broader market.

What is our investment plan?

We are Invested in RML to make a discovery and define a gold-antimony-tungsten resource.

Our plan is to hold the majority of our position in RML for 1 year as part of our Catalyst Hunter exploration portfolio, which we hope is enough time to see RML drill out its project, make a discovery and release a maiden JORC resource.

We may look to sell up to 20% of our holding if the company delivers on one or more of our Investment Memo objectives and/or the share price materially re-rates in line with our minimum hold conditions.


Disclosure: Disclosure: S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (the Company) and Associated Entities own 23,076,922 RML shares and 24,038,460 RML Options at the time of publishing this Investment Memo. 4,295,863 shares and 14,647,931 options disclosed are subject to approval. The Company has been engaged by RML to share our commentary on the progress of our Investment in RML over time.

Our Investment Summary

Date of Initial Coverage

11-Jun-25

Inital Entry Price

$0.013

Returns from Initial Entry

246%

High Point

300%