Property prices continue to drop as bank stocks rise
Published 18-FEB-2019 10:13 A.M.
|
3 minute read
Hey! Looks like you have stumbled on the section of our website where we have archived articles from our old business model.
In 2019 the original founding team returned to run Next Investors, we changed our business model to only write about stocks we carefully research and are invested in for the long term.
The below articles were written under our previous business model. We have kept these articles online here for your reference.
Our new mission is to build a high performing ASX micro cap investment portfolio and share our research, analysis and investment strategy with our readers.
Click Here to View Latest Articles
Property is said to be in its worst slump in a generation, but it’s not stopping billionaire Harry Tiguboff from continuing to develop.
The 85-year-old billionaire, who according to the Bloomberg Billionaire’s Index is worth A$13 billion, is continuing his expansion plans, telling Bloomberg "If prices fall, I'll buy the land cheaper. As long as you don't lose your cool. You have to look at things in the longer term."
‘High-Rise Harry’, as he is known, has built one of every 10 apartments in Sydney through the tightly held Meriton.
Meriton has overseen the construction of over 75,000 residential dwellings.
Triguboff, clearly has the money and the stones, to weather the property storm, but following the final findings of the recent Banking Royal Commission, not everyone is so upbeat.
Mortgage brokers, in particular, are crying foul of Commissioner Hayne’s final findings.
Mortgage Choice Chief Executive Officer, Susan Mitchell, last week called on Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg to initiate consultation with the mortgage broking industry before any reforms to remuneration are made.
Ms Mitchell said the broking industry has just had its entire world changed without any consultation.
“There is no right of reply to the Banking Royal Commission’s recommendations and the industry has significant concerns about the impact on consumers and competition if the changes are implemented without industry discussion."
Hayne recommended the borrower, not the lender, should pay mortgage brokers a fee for acting in connection with home lending. The Commissioner also recommended that a Treasury-led working group should be established to determine what fee that lenders should be required to charge to achieve a level playing field.
“Currently, if all of the Commission’s recommendations are adopted, the banks will be given the green light to charge a multi-thousand dollar fee to borrowers to secure a home loan product. This will hit borrowers hard, after they’ve saved for years for a deposit totalling tens of thousands of dollars. Further, the unintended consequence of handing back power to the banks is a possible steady increase in interest rates,” said Ms Mitchell.
“These changes will result in poor consumer outcomes, which is not in line with the original intentions of the Banking Royal Commission,” said Ms Mitchell.
The banks themselves are still being hit, although the share prices of the major four either held steady or rose after the report was released (down slightly last week).
The report was released on a Monday and on the Tuesday the banks’ share prices surged $20 billion in one of the biggest one day value increases in history.
It is still worth waiting to see where the dust settles when considering bank stocks, but the report didn’t hit hard.
So, while property investors are staying away (High-Rise Harry excluded), bank investors look to be unfazed.
Now let’s wait to see what happens to stocks if the property market drops further or the Royal Commission recommendations are implemented.
General Information Only
S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (S3, ‘we’, ‘us’, ‘our’) (CAR No. 433913) is a corporate authorised representative of LeMessurier Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 296877). The information contained in this article is general information and is for informational purposes only. Any advice is general advice only. Any advice contained in this article does not constitute personal advice and S3 has not taken into consideration your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Please seek your own independent professional advice before making any financial investment decision. Those persons acting upon information contained in this article do so entirely at their own risk.
Conflicts of Interest Notice
S3 and its associated entities may hold investments in companies featured in its articles, including through being paid in the securities of the companies we provide commentary on. We disclose the securities held in relation to a particular company that we provide commentary on. Refer to our Disclosure Policy for information on our self-imposed trading blackouts, hold conditions and de-risking (sell conditions) which seek to mitigate against any potential conflicts of interest.
Publication Notice and Disclaimer
The information contained in this article is current as at the publication date. At the time of publishing, the information contained in this article is based on sources which are available in the public domain that we consider to be reliable, and our own analysis of those sources. The views of the author may not reflect the views of the AFSL holder. Any decision by you to purchase securities in the companies featured in this article should be done so after you have sought your own independent professional advice regarding this information and made your own inquiries as to the validity of any information in this article.
Any forward-looking statements contained in this article are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results or performance of companies featured to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this article. S3 cannot and does not give any assurance that the results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements contained in this article will actually occur and readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
This article may include references to our past investing performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of our future investing performance.