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Growth Portfolio: Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM)


Published 28-MAY-2019 00:00 A.M.


2 minute read

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Overview: Newcrest Mining Limited ("Newcrest Mining", "the Company") is an Australian gold mining company. The Company is engaged in the exploration, mine development, mine operations, and the sale of gold and gold/copper concentrate. It owns and operates a portfolio of mines and a pipeline of brownfield and greenfield exploration projects located in Australia, Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, and in Cote d'Ivoire, West Africa. Newcrest's two largest projects – Lihir and Cadia – have a combined ore reserve of 46moz gold and 4.3mt copper.

Catalysts: Newcrest Mining has outperformed major peers over the past five years following a successful turnaround of the business that commenced in 2013. The turnaround was driven by significant operational improvements at the Lihir Mine, a reduction in debt, and value-added acquisitions that enhanced the company's asset portfolio. Being one of the world's lowest cost major gold producers with AISC of $738/oz, Newcrest's assets have the potential to generate ongoing free cash flow and earnings per share growth.

Hurdles: While Newcrest has a track record of successful mine operations, there is no guarantee it can continue to operate its complex large-scale mines as efficiently as in the past. Operating in South East Asia and Africa, geopolitical risks could impact Newcrest's ability to extract value from its assets. With revenues directly correlated to the volatile gold and copper prices, further price deterioration could impair Newcrest's financial performance.

Investment View: Newcrest Mining offers profitable exposure to the global gold industry. We are attracted to the Company's profitable and diversified portfolio of high-quality mine and exploration projects and its ability to generate free cash flow in various gold price environments. There are technical, geopolitical, and market risks that could negatively impact the share price. Newcrest has outperformed major gold peers over the past 5 years offering a diversified portfolio of high-quality gold assets across a number of geographies and we initiate coverage with a buy recommendation.


General Information Only

S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (S3, ‘we’, ‘us’, ‘our’) (CAR No. 433913) is a corporate authorised representative of LeMessurier Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 296877). The information contained in this article is general information and is for informational purposes only. Any advice is general advice only. Any advice contained in this article does not constitute personal advice and S3 has not taken into consideration your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Please seek your own independent professional advice before making any financial investment decision. Those persons acting upon information contained in this article do so entirely at their own risk.

Conflicts of Interest Notice

S3 and its associated entities may hold investments in companies featured in its articles, including through being paid in the securities of the companies we provide commentary on. We disclose the securities held in relation to a particular company that we provide commentary on. Refer to our Disclosure Policy for information on our self-imposed trading blackouts, hold conditions and de-risking (sell conditions) which seek to mitigate against any potential conflicts of interest.

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The information contained in this article is current as at the publication date. At the time of publishing, the information contained in this article is based on sources which are available in the public domain that we consider to be reliable, and our own analysis of those sources. The views of the author may not reflect the views of the AFSL holder. Any decision by you to purchase securities in the companies featured in this article should be done so after you have sought your own independent professional advice regarding this information and made your own inquiries as to the validity of any information in this article.

Any forward-looking statements contained in this article are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results or performance of companies featured to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this article. S3 cannot and does not give any assurance that the results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements contained in this article will actually occur and readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

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